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Is China an Imperialist country by the definition of Lenin’s Scientific Imperialism theory?

Conclusion

The Central Question and Its Significance

This study began with a deceptively simple question: Is China an imperialist country by the scientific definition of Lenin's theory of imperialism? The answer required far more than a superficial comparison of economic indicators or a repetition of learned-by-rote slogans. It demanded a comprehensive application of the dialectical method—a method that, as Lenin insisted, "proceeds by means of a thorough, detailed analysis of a process in all its concreteness." The question could not be answered through abstract formulas; it required the full weight of Marxist-Leninist methodology: dialectical materialism, concrete analysis of concrete conditions, scientific definition, and proletarian internationalism.

The significance of this question extended far beyond academic debate. The accusation that China is imperialist has become a weapon in the ideological warfare waged by capitalist states against the socialist world. It is used to divide the anti-imperialist camp, to discredit the largest and most powerful socialist state, and to obscure the true nature of US-led imperialism. For Marxist-Leninists, therefore, the question is not merely theoretical—it is a question of class duty.

The Threefold Burden of Proof

The accuser must meet a threefold burden of proof: (1) that China is a capitalist country, (2) that the Communist Party of China constitutes a new "bourgeois" class ruling in its own interest, and (3) that China meets each of the seven conditions of Lenin's scientific definition of imperialism. This work has demonstrated that the accusers fail at every stage.

The first requirement—proving China is capitalist—cannot be met because the defining feature of capitalism is private ownership of the means of production. In China, the commanding heights of the economy remain under state ownership and control, and political power is held by the dictatorship of the proletariat. The second requirement—proving the CCP is a "new bourgeois class"collapses under the weight of Marx's definition of class: a class is defined by its relationship to the means of production. Party leaders do not own the means of production; they administer them on behalf of the people. The third requirement—applying Lenin's seven conditions—fails because China does not meet the material conditions of imperialism: no finance capital dominance, no deindustrialization, no offensive militarization, no global military projection, no colonial subjugation.

The accusation, therefore, is not a scientific observation. It is a product of ideological warfare, rooted in a fundamental misunderstanding of Lenin's scientific work and a violation of Marxist-Leninist norms of criticism.

The Methodological Foundation: Dialectics vs. Sophistry

Throughout this work, we have insisted on a distinction that is crucial for understanding the contemporary battlefield: the distinction between ideological “struggle” and ideological “warfare”. Ideological struggle is the internal process within working-class movements—debates over theory, strategy, and tactics conducted among comrades seeking revolutionary clarity. Ideological warfare is the external, organized conflict between capitalist and socialist systems—a battle waged by states and their institutions using propaganda, media manipulation, and cultural influence to destroy socialist alternatives.

 The critical error facing the contemporary Left is treating these as identical. When communist parties engage in "ideological warfare" against fellow socialists of other countries—publicly criticizing their internal affairs, imposing foreign perspectives, and amplifying narratives that serve capitalist propaganda—they abandon the terrain of legitimate struggle and become unwitting participants in the enemy's campaign.

This confusion is not accidental. It is the very mechanism through which capitalist ideological warfare operates: dividing socialists, discrediting anti-imperialist struggles, and turning communists against one another. Recognizing this distinction is the first condition for unity.

The Scientific Definition of Imperialism Reconstructed

The Economic Aspect: Necessary but Insufficient

Lenin's definition of imperialism in “Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism” was, as he himself noted, limited to the economic aspect: "the pamphlet was written with an eye to the tsarist censorship. Hence, I was not only forced to confine myself strictly to an exclusively theoretical, specifically economic analysis of facts." The economic essence of imperialism lies in:

1. The concentration of production and capital developed to such a high stage that it has created monopolies which play a decisive role in economic life;

2. The merging of bank capital with industrial capital, and the creation, on the basis of this "finance capital," of a financial oligarchy;

3. The export of capital as distinguished from the export of commodities acquires exceptional importance.

These economic features are essential but incomplete. As Lenin stated: "imperialism can and must be defined differently if we bear in mind not only the basic, purely economic concepts—to which the above definition is limited." The economic definition alone cannot distinguish between monopoly capitalism and imperialism proper. A country may fit the economic definition—monopoly capital, capital export—without being imperialist in the scientific, combined sense.

The Political Aspect: The Essential Complement

The political definition of an imperialist state may be summarized as "the systematic militarization of the economy, converting productive capacity into instruments of subjugation, while financial/tech/trade systems are weaponized to sustain global dominance." This political aspect is not an add-on but an essential component of the scientific concept. As Lenin insisted: "there can be no concrete historical analysis of war, unless it is based on a thorough analysis of the nature of imperialism, both in its economic and political aspects."

The political aspect of imperialism manifests itself through:

1. “Militarization of the Economy”: The conversion of productive capacity to war footing, with military industry becoming the primary engine of economic growth;

2. “Offensive Military Posturing”: Not merely defense of territory but projection of power to subjugate other nations;

3. “Perpetual Conflict”: The need for unending conflicts and wars to feed the military-industrial complex;

4. “Use of Force as Policy”: The use of force—whether direct war, proxy war, or economic strangulation—as a continuation of economic policy.

The scientific definition of imperialism is the dialectical unity of these economic and political aspects. A country cannot be properly designated "imperialist" unless it meets both sets of criteria.

The Historical Evolution of Imperialist Wars

The character of wars changes with the character of capitalism itself. During Marx and Engels' time, wars were primarily bourgeois-democratic against feudalism and dynastic empires. The bourgeoisie was historically progressive in dismantling feudalism, making anti-colonial wars objectively progressive. Lenin's analysis during World War I showed that capitalism had become reactionary: "Formerly progressive, capitalism has become reactionary." The task of socialists was no longer to support one bourgeois side against another but to utilize the conflict against all international finance capital through revolutionary defeatism.

Stalin's analysis of World War II demonstrated the necessity of distinguishing between aggressive and non-aggressive imperialists. "A distinguishing feature of the new crisis," he said, "is that it differs in many respects from the preceding one, and, moreover, differs for the worse and not for the better." The non-aggressive countries, combined, were stronger than the fascist states, both economically and militarily. Yet they had rejected collective security and taken up a position of "neutrality." Stalin's policy was to "utilize" the contradictions between imperialist powers for the interests of the proletariat—supporting the non-aggressive imperialists against the aggressive ones.

This historical survey reveals that the attitude of Marxist-Leninists to wars must be determined by concrete analysis of concrete conditions. As Lenin said: "depending on historical conditions, the relationship of classes and similar data, the attitude towards war must be different at different times." There is no ready-made schema that applies to all wars. The fundamental question is always: Where do the interests of the proletariat lie?

The NEP Precedent: The Leninist Tradition of Utilizing Capitalist Methods

What Was the NEP?

The New Economic Policy (NEP), introduced by Lenin in 1921, replaced War Communism with a mixed economy. It allowed limited private trade, small-scale private industry, and foreign concessions, while the state retained control of large-scale industry, banking, transport, and foreign trade. Lenin called this "state capitalism" under proletarian control—a strategic retreat to rebuild the productive forces devastated by civil war and foreign intervention.

Lenin's logic was clear: "The Soviet government drove out the Russian landlords and capitalists, and now it invites foreign capitalists—is this right? Yes, it is, because if the workers' revolution in other countries is delayed, we will have to make certain sacrifices, solely to rapidly—even immediately—improve the condition of the workers and peasants."

The NEP was not a surrender to capitalism but a calculated maneuver. As Bukharin explained: "Through concessions, we allow individual foreign capitalists to make profits, but we weaken world capital as a whole, because in our struggle against it, we strengthen Russia by additionally acquiring technical equipment, and thus we change the balance of forces." The bourgeoisie brought not capital but “the ability to operate within market economic relations”. Production remained in socialist hands, but market linkages fell into bourgeois hands. This was, as Larin put it, "paying tuition fees."

 China's Socialist Market Economy: The Dialectical Continuation

China's Reform and Opening-up, starting in 1978, operated on an identical theoretical logic: dismantling the ultra-centralized Soviet-style wartime command economy, allowing township-village enterprises, private firms, and massive foreign direct investment, while keeping banking, energy, telecom, defense, and infrastructure firmly under state/public ownership. In both cases, the Party/State retained ultimate political control. The bourgeoisie is not allowed to form an independent political party or take over the state apparatus. Capital is strictly subordinated to political directives: industrial policy, five-year plans, poverty alleviation, technological self-reliance.

The scale and duration differ: the NEP lasted about seven years; China's EP has lasted over forty years and integrated a colossal population into global capitalism. The NEP operated in a largely isolated global system; China's reforms occurred during the peak of neoliberal globalization. But the principle remains identical: the political power of the proletarian state subordinates the economic power of capital. The difference is one of degree, not of kind.

State Capitalism Under Proletarian Control Is Not Imperialism

The data on "political capital" and "private capital" proves that China's state dominates capital, not the reverse. This is the inversion of imperialist finance capital. The purpose of China's economic policy—domestic welfare, resource security, and mutual development—proves its anti-imperialist character.

Those who call China "imperialist" confuse participation in the global market with domination of the global market, in which the State regulates private capital, with imperialist finance capital and the investment for domestic welfare and mutual benefit replaced with investment for super-profits and exploitation.

This confusion is not a scientific error; it is the result of ideological warfare.

Testing China Against the Seven Conditions: The Scientific Verdict

Condition 1: Monopolization of All Major Industries Under Finance Capital Dominance

China's state-owned enterprises occupy 27 of the top 30 positions and account for over 60% of infrastructure investment. State capital dominates strategic industries such as energy, transportation, communications, and finance. However, this is a “state” monopoly rather than a “private financial capital” monopoly. Decision-making power belongs to the Party and state institutions, not private financial oligarchs. This differs fundamentally from Lenin's description of "finance capital rule" in terms of ownership and control.

“Verdict: Not met.” State monopoly exists, but it is not a private financial capital monopoly.

Condition 2: Formation of State Capitalism to Consolidate State Institutions

While Chinese SOEs pursue profits, they also bear policy objectives. The government uses SOEs to implement industrial policies, drive technological innovation, and execute strategic development tasks. This model can be described as a "state-led market economy." However, whether it constitutes "state capitalism" depends on the definition. If "state capitalism" means the state serves capital accumulation, then it does exhibit certain features. But if it means the state itself has become the executive committee of the bourgeoisie, that does not align with China's ownership structure.

 “Verdict: Not met.” The state plays a dominant role in the economy, but the ownership structure is not capitalist.

Condition 3: Export of Capital and Control of International Financial Institutions

China is indeed one of the world's major capital exporters. ODI flow reached $192.2 billion USD in 2024, with a global share of 11.9%, covering 190 countries and regions. However, regarding control of international financial institutions, China's voting rights in the IMF and the World Bank are far lower than those of the United States. The AIIB and the New Development Bank, which China has led in establishing, are supplementary arrangements and have not yet formed monopolistic control over the international financial system.

“Verdict: Partially met (capital export) / Not met (control of international finance).”

Condition 4: Deindustrialization—Shifting Production for Cheap Labor

China's manufacturing share has declined from its peak of 38.5% (1997) to 24.9% (2024). However, this remains much higher than that of typically "deindustrialized" countries like the US (approx. 11%) and the UK (approx. 9%). China has remained the world's largest manufacturing nation for 15 consecutive years, and the value-added of high-tech manufacturing grew by 8.9%. This indicates that China has not experienced "deindustrialization" in the classic sense; the decline in manufacturing share is a natural result of economic structural evolution (the rising share of the service sector), not industrial hollowing-out.

 “Verdict: Not met.” Manufacturing share is 24.9%; remains the world's largest manufacturing nation.

Condition 5: Offensive, Aggressive Militarization

China's military expenditure as a share of GDP (1.27%–1.71%) is below the global average (1.8%) and far below NATO's 2% target. The US spends 3.4% of GDP on its military. While China's military spending has grown for 30 consecutive years, its share of GDP has remained below 1.5% for a long period. In terms of the share of military spending in GDP, China does not display the characteristics of a "war economy."

“Verdict: Not met.” Military spending as a percentage of GDP is below the global average and NATO target.

Condition 6: Transition from Producer to Consumer Country

China's manufacturing sector accounts for 24.9% of GDP, and it remains the world's largest manufacturing producer. China is also the world's largest importer of natural resources and is highly dependent on resource imports. However, China has not transitioned from a "producer" to a "consumer" country—it remains the core production node of global supply chains. China's global leadership in new energy (electric vehicles, batteries, solar power) further reinforces its role as a producer.

“Verdict: Not met.” Remains the world's largest producer.

Condition 7: Permanent Military Export and Global Subjugation

China has only one logistics support military base overseas (in Djibouti), and its function is logistical replenishment, not combat deployment. Compared to the US's approximately 800 overseas military bases and permanent stationing of hundreds of thousands of troops, China's overseas military presence is negligible. UN peacekeeping operations are international obligations within a multilateral framework and are not "imperialist" military exports in an aggressive sense.

“Verdict: Not met.” Only one overseas logistics base.

China does have large-scale capital exports and state monopolies, but it lacks the prerequisite of "bourgeois control of the state" as well as the key characteristics of offensive military expansion and deindustrialization. Having tested China against the seven conditions as they exist in present material reality, and finding them unmet, the scientific case is closed.

“China is not imperialist by Lenin's scientific definition.”

 The Qualitative Question: Is China Socialist?

The Dictatorship of the Proletariat

The defining feature of socialism is the dictatorship of the proletariat—the political power of the working class. As Lenin stated: "The transition from capitalism to Socialism will certainly create a great variety and abundance of political forms, but their essence will inevitably be the same: the dictatorship of the proletariat."

Stalin elaborated the three aspects of the dictatorship of the proletariat:

1. The utilization of the power of the proletariat for the suppression of exploiters and the defense of the country;

2. The detachment of the toiling and exploited masses from the bourgeoisie and the consolidation of the alliance of the proletariat with these masses;

3. The organization of Socialism, for the abolition of classes, for the transition to a society without classes.

In China, the dictatorship of the proletariat remains intact. The Communist Party is the vanguard of the working class. State-owned enterprises control the commanding heights of the economy. The state directs economic planning through five-year plans and industrial policies. The purpose of production is domestic welfare, not super-profits. A socialist state under the dictatorship of the proletariat cannot be imperialist by definition.

The Seven General Laws of Building Socialism

Stalin summarized the general laws of building socialism as:

1. The dictatorship of the proletariat, the workers' and peasants' State;

2. Socialised property of the main instruments and means of production;

3. Nationalisation of all capitalist banks;

4. The scientific and planned conduct of the national economy from a single centre;

5. Obligatory domination of Marxist-Leninist ideology;

6. Creation of armed forces for defense of the revolution;

7. Ruthless armed suppression of counter-revolutionaries and foreign agents.

China meets all seven criteria. The fact that it adapts these laws to its concrete conditions does not negate their application—it is the very essence of Leninism. As Stalin himself instructed: "in the building of socialism it is necessary to take into consideration the specific features of a particular country."

The Four Pillars of Socialist Practice

Through decades of study, I have come to believe that there are four fundamental indications of the direction of socialism in a country:

1. Free and compulsory education as an investment in the future;

2. The provision of basic medical insurance for all;

3. The guarantee of work as a matter of state policy;

4. The provision of free or affordable housing as a social right.

China has built the world's largest basic medical insurance network covering over 1.3 billion people—approximately 95% of the population. Education is compulsory and tuition-free through nine years. The government has lifted over 700 million people out of poverty in recent decades, largely through employment creation. The "dual-track" housing system ensures affordability. While China's approach of "affordability" differs from the classical model of "totally free" in smaller planned economies, this is an adaptation to scale and global market integration, not a retreat from socialism.

Who Owns the Land?

Land ownership is a decisive indicator of class character. In China, urban land is owned by the state; rural land is owned by the village collective. This "dual-track" model is identical to North Korea's constitutional structure: state ownership of urban/industrial land, cooperative ownership of rural agricultural land. In the USSR, Vietnam, Cuba, and Albania, the state is the sole legal owner. The diversity of forms reflects the diversity of concrete conditions, not a departure from socialism.

The Inescapable Conclusion

The evidence is conclusive: China remains a socialist state under the dictatorship of the proletariat. A socialist state cannot be imperialist. Imperialism is the highest stage of “capitalism”—and China is not capitalist. Those who call China imperialist are not applying Lenin; they are abandoning him for bourgeois propaganda.

The Mechanism of the Accusation: A Confession of Ideology

The Bourgeois Kafkatrap

The accusation against China is a perfect example of what can be called a "bourgeois Kafkatrap"—a closed system of logic from which the socialist country cannot escape.

If China were poor and underdeveloped, the accusation would be: "See, socialism does not work." Now that China has lifted hundreds of millions out of poverty and achieved rapid technological and economic growth, the accusation flips: "See, it must be capitalist, and therefore imperialist."

This dual-bind is the hallmark of bourgeois ideology. It cannot conceive development without exploitation because exploitation is the only historical experience of capitalism. It cannot imagine a power that rises to global significance without seeking to dominate, because domination is the only language of imperialism.

The accusation against China is not a scientific observation; it is a confession. It reveals that the accuser cannot conceive of a power that does not seek to dominate, because domination is the only language their own economic system speaks. They project the logic of imperialism onto a system that has structurally superseded it.

The Revival of Anti-Leninist Theories

The specific accusations of "imperialism" against China are rooted in a deeper theoretical assault: the revival of anti-Leninist theories that were supposedly settled decades ago.

"If socialism cannot be built in one country," then the existence of China, a socialist state that has survived and developed for over seven decades, is a theoretical impossibility that must be explained away. "If anti-imperialist struggles are obsolete," then any resistance to US/NATO hegemony is by definition illegitimate or retrograde.

These two bourgeois theories, if accepted, would disarm the socialist movement completely. They are the theoretical foundation upon which the accusation of "Chinese imperialism" is built. To accept the accusation is to accept the entire anti-Leninist framework.

The Role of Ideological Warfare

The struggle against socialism and socialist ideology has become an organized project by external capitalist forces with their internal agents, aiming at its destruction and/or revision in a way acceptable to the capitalists. The capitalists, who own the means of production, also own the "means of mental production"-media, education, culture-and they deploy these as weapons of war.

As we demonstrated in Chapter 1, the CIA's funding of the Congress for Cultural Freedom, the cultivation of "anti-Stalinist leftists," and the promotion of "left" anti-communism created a permanent Fifth Column within the socialist movement. Trotsky's accusations of "bureaucratic deformation" and "betrayal of the revolution" were repurposed by intelligence agencies, given institutional support, and transformed into the foundation of a "left" anti-communism that persists to this day.

The accusation against China is a direct continuation of this tradition. It is not a product of scientific research but of organized propaganda. The "left" critics of China are, objectively, serving imperialist propaganda—whether consciously or not.

The Violation of Marxist Norms of Criticism

The accusation of "Chinese imperialism" violates every norm of Marxist-Leninist criticism.

Marxist criticism is scientific, based on objective analysis of concrete conditions. It is constructive, which removes error to build proletarian truth. It is comradely conducted through proper channels, with respect for sovereignty. It is focused on one's “own” bourgeoisie, not on fellow socialists abroad.

What the accusers' "criticism" is that it is subjective, based on bourgeois sources, not concrete knowledge. It is destructive, designed to discredit, not to build. It is directed outward, focusing on other countries' communist parties while ignoring their own national struggles.

As Lunacharsky stated: "Marxist criticism is a science because it opposes subjectivism... Criticism, by its nature, cannot be only negative... The Marxist critic 'removes' the wrong conception in order to form one that meets the interests of the proletariat." The condemnation of China as "imperialist" does not meet these criteria. It is not scientific, objective, or constructive. It is a weapon of ideological warfare.

 The Strategic Implications of the accusation

For the Anti-Imperialist Movement

China is the largest, most powerful socialist state on earth. Its survival and development under seventy-five years of US-led encirclement is one of the greatest achievements of the international working class in the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. To weaken it with reckless accusations is to weaken the entire anti-imperialist camp.

The task of Marxist-Leninists is not to police the purity of socialist states from a comfortable distance. It is to defend them against imperialist attack, to study their concrete conditions, to learn from their successes and failures, and to fight for socialism in their own countries. That is the only path consistent with proletarian internationalism.

 For Marxist-Leninist Theory

Lenin's theory of imperialism remains scientifically valid-but it must be applied dialectically. The “form” of imperialist conflict has changed (proxy wars, economic warfare, cyber warfare), but the “essence” remains. War is still inevitable as long as capitalism exists. Imperialism is still the highest stage of capitalism. Finance capital still drives global competition.

Those who pronounce Lenin's theory "outdated" or misapply it by calling a socialist state "imperialist" are abandoning Marxism. They are not defenders of Leninism; they are inheritors of the Kautskyite-Bernsteinist tradition that Lenin criticized over a century ago. They hide behind "ultra-left" slogans while serving the interests of the imperialist bourgeoisie.

For the Ideological Struggle

The distinction between ideological struggle and ideological warfare is not academic—it is the key to effective resistance. The enemy's method is to divide, confuse, and turn socialists against each other. Recognizing ideological warfare is the first condition for victory.

Marxist-Leninists must recognize that ideological criticism of fellow socialist parties is only legitimate when it is constructive, comradely, and conducted through appropriate channels. Public denunciation, particularly from abroad, violates Marxist norms and serves capitalist interests.

Genuine internationalism requires focusing on one's own national struggle while supporting others materially and through solidarity-not through pontification. Lenin's injunction remains definitive: "He is an internationalist who combats his own bourgeoisie."

Final Synthesis: Who Truly Defies Lenin?

The Inescapable Conclusion

The answer to the question of whether China is imperialist, reached through dialectical materialism, scientific definition, and empirical testing, is a resounding “NO”. China is not an imperialist country by Lenin's scientific definition.

China is a socialist state under the dictatorship of the proletariat. It does not meet any of Lenin's seven conditions for a scientific concept of imperialism. The accusation against it is a product of ideological warfare, rooted in a violation of Marxist-Leninist norms of criticism and a fundamental misunderstanding of Lenin's scientific work.

The Accusers' Confession

Those who call China imperialist are not applying Lenin; they are abandoning him for bourgeois propaganda. Their accusation is a confession of their own ideology. It reveals that they cannot conceive of a world beyond exploitation, because exploitation is the foundation of their own worldview.

 The accusation is not about China—it is about the accuser's own inability to see beyond capitalism. They project the logic of imperialism onto a system that has structurally superseded it. The trap they have constructed is designed to validate their anti-Leninist "socialism in one country is impossible" theory and ensure that socialism can never succeed in any country in their eyes. But the trap reveals more about the trappers than about the target.

Correct Action

Marxist-Leninists must:

1. “Expose the bourgeois nature of the accusation”: The accusation that China is imperialist is not a scientific observation; it is a weapon of ideological warfare;

2. “Return to the principles of genuine internationalism”: Combating “our own” bourgeoisie, not slandering socialist states;

3. “Defend socialist states against imperialist attack”: While offering fraternal, constructive criticism where it is due;

4.“Apply the dialectical method”: Concrete analysis of concrete conditions, not abstract formulas or learned-by-rote slogans.

"The revolution is not a sterile and abstract process," Lenin taught, "it is a living and concrete process." Those who apply Leninist theory mechanically, without understanding the concrete conditions to which it must be applied, are not Leninists at all. They are dogmatists who have abandoned the dialectical method.

Final Words

This book has attempted to demonstrate that the question of whether China is imperialist cannot be answered through slogans, gossip, or abstract formulas. It requires the full weight of Marxist-Leninist method: dialectical materialism, concrete analysis, scientific definition, and proletarian internationalism.

The answer, reached through this method, is clear: China is not imperialist. The accusation is a weapon of ideological warfare, not a scientific conclusion. Those who wield it are not defending Leninism—they are abandoning it.

The task before us is not to police the purity of socialist states from a comfortable distance. It is to defend them against imperialist attack, to study their concrete conditions, to learn from their successes and failures, and to fight for socialism in our own countries. That is the only path consistent with proletarian internationalism. That is the path Lenin taught, and that is the path we must follow.

“"He is an internationalist who in a really internationalist way combats his own bourgeoisie, his own social-chauvinists, his own Kautskyites."“  Lenin

"The correct Leninist course demands deeds, not words."  Enver Hoxha

Final Note;

The dialectical rule is that nothing remains static; the only constant is change, for everything moves either backward or forward. The conflict between opposing forces is the driving force behind all change, and nothing can exist in complete isolation from its surroundings. Bearing this in mind, Marxist-Leninists base their concrete assessments not on assumptions about the future, but on the concrete conditions and circumstances at hand. This means that change is inevitable for China, but we cannot predict whether it will be backward or forward; changes in fundamental principles and practices in China may be the only indicator of its direction. Depending on the changing conditions, there may be changes in the "four pillars of the socialist state"; backward or forward. If the changes are negative during a period of economic boom, this can be considered an indication of a step backward. Dialectically, the boom itself is not an external condition, but an expression of the existing relations of production. Therefore, a negative change during an economic boom is particularly significant because prosperity does not make a system immune to decline; on the contrary, it reveals the political character of the explosion depending on whether it strengthens the dictatorship of the proletariat and its institutional bodies, or whether it begins to play a restraining or opposing role to this dictatorship. The economic indicator is never the ultimate arbiter; it is the class content of growth.

However, these are not the fundamental principles a deviation from which is considered a backtrack, or in ML terms,  “restoration”. But “Principles are not an aim, a programme, a tactic or a theory. Tactics and theory are not principles… The principles of communism consist in the establishment of the dictatorship of the proletariat and in the use of state coercion in the transition period.” Lenin, Speech In Defence Of The Tactics Of The Communist International

If the principle is the dictatorship of the proletariat and the use of state coercion in the transition period, then the fundamental question for any concrete assessment is not "has the policy changed?" but "whose class interest does the state coercively enforce, and in whose interest is the coercion suspended or redirected?" That is the immutable question underlying the changing conditions. If the coercive apparatus of the state -its legal system, its security organs, its economic planning mechanisms- begins to operate increasingly in the interest of a new propertied class or a self-reproducing bureaucratic elite, then that is not a "tactical shift"; it is a qualitative change in the principle itself, even the old terminology is retained.

We cannot predict; we can only analyze the concrete conditions at hand, and the most concrete condition of all is the real relationship between the state's coercive power and the working class. The direction is not written in the stars, nor in the GDP curve, but in the daily material reality of who gives the orders, who obeys, and who benefits from them.

Erdogan A
August 14, 2026


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