India- Pakistan issue; a reaction to a "terrorist attack" with "terrorist attacks." Who really is behind it?

The first question to ask always has to be "who are the beneficiaries of any given such cases". In order to determine, or at least get a factual idea as close as possible, one should not get stuck with the event itself, but its implications in particular and in general. In this case, what is the recent history of each countries involved in political and economic context, and what was and is their stand on the overall world conflict between the declining hegemon power of old unipolar world order and the rising powers of emerging multipolar world order. 

Although I had taken up the subject of social-chauvinist statement of India CP(Marxist) on my latest article, I had noted that " No "terrorist" organisation has claimed the responsibility for the attack. Usually one of the US-Mossad fed and backed Islamist organisations claim the responsibility. Under these conditions who can say which government is behind this attack? Looking at history, and the current world conflict in the world, it seems that the most plausible conclusion would be the "declining empire" is behind this attack."

Listening the discussions and reading the articles on the subject, most sane and critical minded people, scholar, and analyzers, including the Indian ones confirm my suspicion that this "terrorist attack" was not a coincidence and an event by itself, but a part of a larger plan in general and in specific, specifically for India.

Let's start with the "terrorist organization" carried out the attack.

After all the US senate hearing disclosures, CIA declassified documents, whistleblowers, witnesses, confessions , it is no secret anymore that if not all, most of these terrorist organizations are offshoots of Mujahideen who have been fed, armed, trained and used by CIA-MI6 and Mossad.

India was very quick in blaming Pakistan government just because the "terrorists" are using Pakistan as their base. It is no different than the US blaming Afghanistan, Iraq for "sheltering" the "terrorists" and justifying its military attacks in those countries. There is no concrete evidence that Pakistan is behind this attack or even the attackers are Pakistani. India was very hasty in blaming and attacking Pakistan. That by itself is a good reason to suspect the real intention of India’s elite.  That is a typical  practice of every capitalist country to distract the attention of its people from what really is going on within the country.

India is facing inflationary pressures, rising unemployment, global trade uncertainty, and uneven regional growth. Inflationary pressures are dampening domestic demands, impacting private consumption and investments. While the overall officially declared unemployment rate is 4.2%, youth unemployment is significantly higher at 15%, creating a pressing jobs crisis. In addition, the global trade tensions, and uncertainty, particularly deriving from the US tariffs, are expected to negatively impact India's economy, potentially leading to lower GDP growth.

India is a vast country in which the uneven growth is a natural trend;  some states thrives while others struggling. Weakening of the Indian Rupee against the US dollar, further exacerbating economic challenges .

In simple words, Indian people suffering with a high index of poverty and hunger. Conflicts and wars have always been the best distraction method for the capitalist class on the face of people's dissatisfaction and mushrooming, spreading  protests.

In this sense, despite the fact that a war with its neighbor can and will inevitably worsen the economy, India's ruling elite is a beneficiary of the "terrorist attack".

Although Pakistan grappled with economic uncertainty, political instability, social unrest and a resurgence of terrorism, its economy however  is showing signs of stability and recovery with growth by %2.5 according to Asian Development Outlook (ADO). Its inflation slowed to 1.5%, the lowest since 10 years. In this sense, Pakistan has no reason and no benefit what so ever from the involvement of a "terrorist attack" in Kashmiri .

Here, in my personal opinion,  we come to the hidden agenda behind the event and possible developments. 

India has a good relationship with both Russia and US, but India is a trump card of the US against China and against BRICS. The only real beneficiary of a war between Pakistan and India would be the US.

Pakistan during Imran Khan's time was shifting towards Russia and China, that shift was interrupted by the US with a plot and he was replaced by a US puppet government - through the military most of the generals of which was pro-US. Pakistan's support of Ukraine with arms and ammunitions severed it's relations with Russia. However, its collapsing economy was saved to a larger degree with its improved relations with China. So, here we have Pakistan with a good relationship with China and severed relations with both US and Russia, against India who has good relations with US and Russia with severed relations with China.

In previous article I have noted that ; " Pakistan has recently improved its relations with China, disappointing and  angering the US. A war in the region benefits neither India nor Pakistan but the US. Neither China nor Russia would like to have an ongoing war between two nuclear powers at their doorsteps. US Neocons, with their unending fantasy of driving a wedge between China and Russia is playing another card in its sleeve. They hope that China who is having good relations with Pakistan will have diplomatic problems with Russia who has good relations with India. That is of course in addition to desire to exploit and benefit from the war which inevitably will harm BRICS. "

Looking at the overall picture, it is not very difficult to see that the only real beneficiary would be the US; punishing Pakistan, blackmailing India with carrot and stick policy, and enriching its military industrial complex through India. Plus, most important of which is driving wedges between BRICS countries, creating (their wishful thinking) diplomatic problems between China and Russia.

The fantasy of US Neo-Cons to drive a wedge between China and Russia has been a long time desire, policy, and practice of the US. Especially if we consider the fact that China-phobia faction of US Neo-cons' narratives are copied and pasted by the mainstream media of India, they have a trump card in south Asia in order to achieve their goals. However, the US Neo-Cons, like most of the Indian nationalists and chauvinists of India, live in a fantasy world totally divorced  from the realities of India in particular and the world in general. Excluding socialist and socialist inclined countries, India probably has the largest socialist inclined population which may be more than the total of the world in quantity. Struggles for  autonomy, right to self determination, guerilla wars are going on within multi ethnic, multi religious India since 1960s or may be earlier. I strongly believe that a protracted war between India and Pakistan could bring about the fragmentation of India.

Such a protracted war at the doorsteps of China and Russia- both of which can not remain on the sidelines-,  again, would be serving the overall interests of the US. Unlike US's wishes and desires, it is highly unlikely that the conflict will escalate to that level. However, if it does, US could hit multiple birds with one stone.

In this sense, it is highly likely that the "hidden power" behind this terrorist attack, either directly or indirectly, is the US.

Erdogan A

May 9, 2025