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Who Actually Makes the Decisions for Foreign Policy in the US? Conflict Within the Bureaucracy

Introduction

In order to study the subject of who “really makes the decisions” related to  the domestic and foreign policies we should recognize the dialectic connections between the capitalism, state, and bureaucracy and study the question based on the general theories and concrete realities in its specific.

Marx stated that state is the oppression apparatus of class over other classes. Lenin, summarizing the works of Karl Marx explained that  the state arises from the irreconcilability of class antagonisms. It exists to manage this conflict in a way that keeps the propertyless majority in check to benefit the property-owning minority. It  operates and enforces its laws directly through "armed bodies of men"; entities like police, military, courts, and prisons. Indirectly, the state maintains dominance by reproducing the ruling class ideology through institutions like education and media. (1) This statements above explains everything in general but does not explain it in a way that is cognizable by average, mostly by the majority of people. In other words it explains nothing for them.

Who really decides US foreign policy? Is it the President? Congress? The “deep state”? The Israeli lobby? The mainstream media offers no shortage of answers, but almost all of them obscure more than they reveal. This article argues that the only correct answer must begin from a class perspective. Decisions for US foreign policy are made by a fused “financeindustrialmilitary bureaucracy” ; the institutional expression of the ruling class in its monopoly stage. Conflicts exist, but they are “nonantagonistic”; they occur within the bureaucracy and between its different factions, not between fundamentally opposed fractions of capital. The popular claim that “Israel controls the US” is not an explanation of US foreign policy – it is a “damage control mechanism” designed to shift blame for decades of warmongering onto a convenient scapegoat, thereby preserving the legitimacy of American imperialism. In this  article I will develop these theses step by step, moving from the general theory of capitalism, state, and bureaucracy to the concrete realities of US policy on Israel and Iran.

Since we will be talking about the current situation in our new epoch, we should start examining the subject of monopoly capitalism and finance capitalism

 Capitalism: From Free Competition to Finance Capital

We should always keep in mind Lenin’s warning in his definition while studying the subject that  imperialism can and must be defined differently if we bear in mind not only the basic, purely economic concepts—to which the above definition is limited..” (2)  Because,  as Stalin  stated “ needless to say that there can be no concrete historical analysis of war, if that analysis does not have for its basis a full understanding of the nature of imperialism, both from its economic and political aspects. Without this, it is impossible to approach an understanding of the economic and diplomatic situation of the last decades, and without such an understanding, it is ridiculous even to speak of forming a correct view on war. (3)

Under premonopoly capitalism the dominance of free competition led to an equalization of the rate of profit of individual capitalists, under imperialism the monopolies ensure for themselves a monopolistically high, maximum profit. It is the maximum profit that is the engine of monopoly capitalism.” (4)  

When Lenin stated, imperialism is merely monopoly capitalism he was actually talking about in its transformation into finance capital: the fusion of financial and industrial capital. (5)

It is important to note that “monopolies” generally refer to single entities controlling an entire market for a given particular goods or services. “The objective conditions for obtaining maximum profits are created by the establishment of the dominance of monopolies in certain branches of production. At the stage of imperialism, the concentration and centralization of capital reached  its highest degree. Because of this, the expansion of production required huge capital investments. The fierce competitive struggles between gigantic enterprises brought about the dominance of finance capital in monopolization of industries.  ” (5) Lenin wrote:

“We see the rapid expansion of a close network of channels which cover the whole country, centralizing all capital and all revenues, transforming thousands and thousands of scattered economic enterprises into a single national, capitalist, and then into a world capitalist economy.” (6)

His prediction has been confirmed. Foreign direct investment,  international trade, and industrial transfers have reached new heights, to the degree of internationalization of production and circulation which overshadowed the single product “monopoly capitalist” era of the past (for few countries). The capital redistributed globally from production to circulation. This brought about concentration of capital and lead to multinational finance capital corporations. These corporations developed links with the rest of the finance capital and formed financial monopoly organizations. They controlled and run international production, trade, banking, transactions, and exchange values. They have shaped the domestic and world economic and political system aligned with their needs in order to eliminate any barriers. They have made up the “class” that owns and controls the state over other “classes” because state is nothing but the most general organization of the ruling classes.

The US Exception: Fusion and Deindustrialization

In the United States today, the classical distinction between “finance capital” and “industrial capital” has become largely obsolete. The fusion of the two has created a single, integrated global entity. Moreover, the US has effectively deindustrialised, with the exception of military production, technology, energy, and food all of which are themselves deeply financialized and militarized. Production moved out of the US in search of cheap labour and resources. This, in turn, required the strengthening of the militarytechenergy complex. The militarization of industry is an inevitable consequence of finance capitalism in its imperialist stage. Therefore, any analysis that tries to find a conflict between finance and industry within the US ruling class is chasing a ghost. The conflict, as we shall see, lies elsewhere inside the “bureaucracy”.

The State: Instrument of Class Rule

In the epoch of finance capitalism, the state undergoes a transformation. “In the beginning, the state is the sole organisation of the ruling class. Then other organisations (trade associations, think tanks, lobbies) spring up. The state is transformed from the “sole” organisation into “one” of the organisations of the ruling class. Finally, a third stage arrives, in which the state swallows up these organisations and once again becomes the “sole universal organisation” of the ruling class. The onceindependent organisational groupings become divisions of a gigantic state mechanism.” (7)

In this epoch,  On the world market, as well as on national markets, the struggle between powerful capitalist trusts is waged along three main lines: 1) the struggle for markets,2) struggle for raw material markets, 3) the struggle for capital investment markets. These competitions are closely connected with each other and represent the three sides of the single capitalist competition. Competition  transferring  to the world market, leads to the transformation of “peaceful” competition into a competition where the force is used, lead to the birth of imperialism as an inevitable policy of modern states.” (8)

Thus the state, in its single combined meaning and function, is a “bureaucratic administration” in the service of the ruling class.

Bureaucracy: The Knowledge the Ruling Class Lacks

The owners and shareholders of finance and industrial capital are not superhuman beings expert in every field economy, trade, politics, military, information warfare. They cultivate and hire “bureaucrats” who will serve their interests, and serve them best.

Bureaucracy has a long history, going back to old monarchies and feudal systems. Lenin says that “ the bureaucracy was the first political instrument of the bourgeoisie   against the feudal lords, and against the representatives of the “old-nobility” system in general, and marked the first appearance in the arena of political rule of people who were not high-born landowners, but commoners, “middle class” and from the very conditions of the formation and recruitment of this class, which is open only to bourgeois “offspring of the people,” and is connected with that bourgeoisie by thousands of strong ties. …. every bureaucracy, by its historical origin, its contemporary source, and its purpose, is purely and exclusively a bourgeois institution”. (9)

After the transition from Feudalism to Capitalism, the bureaucracy remains an administrative arm of the ruling class, as Lenin puts it;  “in a capitalist state which is centralized, not by the arbitrary will of the bureaucracy, but by the inexorable demands of economic development, that organisation must find expression in a single force welded together throughout the state.”  (10)

Bureaucracy is the knowledge and expertise that the ruling class lacks, occupying privileged positions compared to the oppressed majority. As Marx took up Hegel’s definition:

“The executive is nothing but the administration, which he develops as the bureaucracy… Indeed, bureaucracy is merely the formalism of a content which lies outside the bureaucracy itself. The bureaucracy is the state formalism of civil society… The aims of the state are transformed into aims of bureaus, or the aims of bureaus into the aims of the state. The bureaucracy is a circle from which no one can escape. Its hierarchy is a hierarchy of knowledge…..” (11)

The state and, as Lenin definition,  the civil service, the bureaucracy, as representing a special category of persons who specialise in the work of administration and occupy a privileged position as compared with the people. We see this institution everywhere, from autocratic and semi-Asiatic Russia to cultured, free and civilised England, as an essential organ of   bourgeois society.”(12)

Engels gave a striking example of the ruling class’s lack of political knowledge: where the bourgeoisie was politically far less educated, the liberal bureaucracy walked into office and professed to hold power in trust for them. We have further seen, how the parties and classes of society, that were heretofore all united in opposition to the old government, got divided among themselves after the victory, or even during the struggle; and how that same liberal bourgeoisie that alone profited from the victory turned round immediately upon its allies of yesterday, assumed a hostile attitude against every class or party of a more advanced character, and concluded an alliance with the conquered feudal and bureaucratic interests.” (13)

Marx’s definition – “bureaucracy was only the means of preparing the class rule of the bourgeoisie… under the parliamentary republic, it was the instrument of the ruling class” – clearly answers the question of who really makes policy decisions. (14)

In the case of US, we always have to make a distinction between “elected bureaucrats” through election scheme, and “non-elected bureaucrats” who have been placed in key positions by the ruling elite, plus the cultivated academicians and experts.

On the November 2024 election, I commented ; “Is or will Trump be the tool of the Neo-Cons for a "face saving exit" from the problems they are facing not only domestically but world wide?  One more "free election" and "democracy" play ended on US stage in where American people were given the "right" to choose "one" out of "two" parties of the elite establishment. Trump came out to be the triumphant one -since people did not have any other option.  Will there be any change in the US foreign policy? The same non-elected bureaucratic structure established by the elites will keep on making decisions on any decisive policies related to the interests of the military industrial complex and finance capital. The same lobbies of the financial  industry will keep on buying the representatives and congressman to act in line with their interests… US is  going through not only an economic crises, but political-strategic crises in the world. The crises are not easy to tackle like before, during the mono-polar world order. Multipolar world order has become a world reality. As I have argued in few articles, US is looking for a "face saving exit" from the Ukraine war. Now facing another serious problem in Middle East most likely  for which they may have to seek another way of "face saving exit"… Here comes the scene the "useful....." Trump. Probably, actually most likely, have been chosen as a great scapegoat candidate for all the previous and following negative developments and face saving exit practices… The argument that "Trump did beat the Neo-Cons " is a bourgeois left-liberal argument that does not reflect any realities and totally disconnected from the "political realities of the US. (15)

One cannot claim to have democracy and at the same time claim Trump has the full authority on every decisions.

The Locus of Conflict: Within Bureaucracy, Not Between Fractions of Capital

As we study the example of US, we should bear in mind that US is not the world, not all stated above  can be applied to all since  there are countries in the world who are at the stage of pre-monopoly or  monopoly capitalist structure. Meaning that not through pedantic assessments based on learned by rote and sloganized general theories and application of ready-made schemes, but objective assessments set the foundation for drawing correct practical conclusions through studying each case concretely. Because  “Marxist dialectical method forbids the employment of 'ready-made schemes' and abstract formulas, but demands the thorough, detailed analysis of a process in all its concreteness, basing its conclusions only on such an analysis. The dialectical method demands, first, that we should consider things, not each by itself, but always in their interconnection with other things…Nevertheless, it is an “obvious” principle which is very often ignored and is extremely important to remember…. since the very essence of metaphysics is to think of things in an abstract way, isolated from their relations with other things and from the concrete circumstances in which they exist. (16)  

Because finance and industrial capital are fused in the contemporary United States, there is no antagonistic contradiction between them. The classical Leninist analysis of interimperialist rivalries (between, say, German and British finance capital) still applies globally, but “within” the US ruling class the conflicts are “nonantagonistic”. They are tactical disagreements among different bureaucratic factions over “how best” to preserve and extend US global hegemony.

The U.S. state apparatus, designed to serve the ruling class, is not a monolithic entity. It is a collection of powerful bureaucracies that jealously guard their own resources, authority, and policy preferences. This leads to intense, persistent, and often crippling “bureaucratic” infighting.

These conflicts manifest as “bureaucratic turf wars”. For example, the current deep rivalry between the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) has become so severe that the CIA has stopped participating in some ODNI assessments, actively disrupting national security analysis. Similarly, there are persistent tensions between political appointees (e.g., White House national security staff) and the permanent career bureaucracy (e.g., State Department foreign service officers). These are not struggles between capitalists and workers, nor between “good” and “bad” capital. They are family quarrels within the ruling class’s own administrative apparatus.

Any conflict in a country such as US among the ruling classes (regardless of the existence of  fusion of financial and industrial capital)  could be non-antagonistic but in the direction of conciliation and unification. Here lies the danger of fascism which primarily functions as a unifying power by a section of capital that becomes dominant not through force but through its bureaucrats; elected, non-elected, academic, think tank expert bureaucrats. This conflict overtly presenting itself in the US through discussions, commentaries and media is arising from the different point of views of the bureaucrats on the issues like war, especially that of Iran war and role of Israel, each of whom claim to be presenting the best solutions that will serve the interests of Financial-industry capital; the interests of US state since people associate their interests with the interests of finance capital.


Two Dialectically Connected Current Issues: Israel/Palestine and the Threat of War with Iran

Discussions on the reasons for  a war on Iran have two different points of view; 1) US is following and carrying out the desires and demands of Israel, 2) US did not give up on dismantling Russia but replaced the course which was blockading and weaking China through weaking and dismantling Russia first, to first China and then Russia. As far as ‘for whom the war will be waged against Iran is concerned, it is mutually inclusive and  complimentary of both Israel and US.  Israel has its owned opportunistic reasons so does the US… For US this war, could not be a winnable war against Iran. They probably will cause significant damage to Iran, but they will not be able to defeat Iran.  Primarily, Israel will be on the worst looser side of this war. The fate of Israel already questionable the way it is, a war against Iran could remove that question and be a practical response… Will a war against Iran be in the interests of Finance capital and of all other industries? I doubt it. The only industry that never loses is military Industry which makes money regardless of win or lose. It is not an “independent” industry but a part of Finance Capital Conglomerate who has financial stakes in every industry, in every trade, in every phase of commercial life.  The interests of “part” is always subordinated to the interests of “whole”, in this case cost will overweigh the benefits in a destructive way. ” (17)

The most visible bureaucratic conflicts today revolve around two linked questions:

1. “The question of Israel” – especially unconditional support for the genocidal war in Gaza.

2. “The question of war” – specifically whether and when to attack Iran.

On both issues, there are “sharply differing points of view” among bureaucrats – academic experts, thinktank analysts, intelligence officials, military officers, and elected politicians. One faction argues for unlimited support for Israel and a willingness to go to war with Iran (either directly or through Israel). Another faction more cautious, often from the realist wing of the intelligence community argues that unconditional support for Israel is damaging US global standing and that a war with Iran would be catastrophic, especially in the emerging multipolar competition with China.

This calculation of benefit versus loss by the bureaucrats in general differs on both questions yet gradually the question of Israel gaining track on the opponent side. It seems that the bureaucrats for Military Industry are strongly proponent of  Israel.  However, as I have noted, ”the thinktank group of the finance capital who have the final say on any decision that will affect their interests are not a bunch of utopians but objective analyzers to determine the policies in line with their interests to follow... US will remain to be bellicose and aggressive in its rhetoric whether it has the power or not.”  (18)

But note carefully: “both factions agree” that the enemy is Iran, that the USIsrael alliance is a strategic asset, and that US global hegemony must be maintained. The disagreement is only over “tactics and timing”. This is the very definition of a nonantagonistic contradiction.

 Elected vs. NonElected Bureaucrats: Who Are the Real DecisionMakers?

To understand foreign policy making, we must distinguish between two categories of bureaucrats:
 “Elected bureaucrats” – presidents, senators, representatives. They rotate in and out of office, they perform democracy, and they are the public face of the system. But their power is severely limited by campaign finance, lobbying, and the permanent state apparatus.

 “Nonelected bureaucrats” career civil servants, intelligence officers, military brass, Federal Reserve officials, and the network of thinktank and academic experts who move in and out of government. These are the people who provide “continuity”. They draft policy, manage crises, and ensure that the basic interests of the ruling class are protected regardless of which elected official holds office.

What we are witnessing today in U.S. media, debates, and think-tank publications is not a conflict "between" the ruling class and some opposing popular force. It is a conflict "among bureaucrats"—different wings of the same class, different institutional loyalties, different tactical assessments—arguing openly about: The limits of U.S. support for Israel: Some argue for unconditional support regardless of international law or regional escalation. Others (a minority, but growing) warn that blind support is damaging U.S. global standing and may entangle the U.S. in a forever war. But virtually none question the fundamental U.S.-Israel alliance. The necessity and timing of war with Iran: One faction (closer to the Israeli lobby, neoconservatives, and parts of the military-industrial complex) pushes for direct military action against Iran’s nuclear facilities or its proxies. Another faction (more cautious, often from the intelligence bureaucracy or realist think-tanks) argues that a direct war would be disastrous, preferring continued sanctions, cyber warfare, and assassination campaigns.

The real decisions are made by the “nonelected bureaucracy”, acting within the broad parameters set by finance capital. The elected officials ratify, they perform, and occasionally they are allowed to debate but they do not decide.

The Illusion That “Israel Controls the US”

“I believe that the claim ” Israel controls US foreign policy” consciously or unconsciously, directly, or indirectly is a part of a long “damage control” process. US is increasingly being isolated from the world due to unilateral, unjustified  wars, economic sanctions, and its support to genocidal war in Palestine. The repeated and wide spread argument that “the US government is controlled by Israeli Lobby” is gaining traction among the US population and there is a growing opposition to Israel. That argument eventually may be used to shift the sins of entire US warmongering policy and unjustified wars to Israel. The more that argument gains traction world wide, the easier to convince the world that it was not the US, but Israel (controlling the US governments) who is behind all those wars and murders of millions of people world wide and destruction of countries… The “damage control” process in the long run may well turn Israel from special -exception to a "subject” of general; an expendable one.”  (19)

The influence of the "Zionist lobby," primarily the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), is a critical and unique factor in U.S. foreign policymaking. For decades, AIPAC has served as a singularly powerful organized interest group, successfully bending U.S. policy in the Middle East to serve Israeli interests. Through immense campaign financing and lobbying, its power has been such that opposing it was widely considered political suicide.

However, this very power has now become a source of significant internal conflict within the ruling political class. A growing number of politicians, particularly within the Democratic Party, are now openly challenging AIPAC, creating a rare public fracture in a foreign policy domain that was once strictly bipartisan.

In my article dated April 25, I stated that “the possibility of an act of war against Iran seems to be high. However, if we are not considering Trump as a king  but a bureaucrat in a country where just a lobby, in this case  Israeli Lobby, can extend immense power in decision making, ..  The historically proven political fact that bureaucracy by itself is not an “elite”, “ruling” class, but  a social class that does not create a "value", but controls the process of coordination, distribution, and consumption of the created "value that serves to the interests of dominant classes; it is fair to say that the final decision will be made by the dominant classes in accord with and through their “non-elected”  members of the state institutions which has vast think-thank experts to make sure that the decisions... In all cases the benefit has to always overweigh the cost of any action. “  (19)

The claim that “Israel controls US foreign policy” is heard increasingly often, even among some on the left. At first glance, it seems plausible: AIPAC and the Zionist lobby are extraordinarily powerful; US Middle East policy has aligned with Israeli demands for decades; and many Jewish Americans hold influential positions in finance, media, and government.

But to argue that Israel controls the US, one would have to demonstrate that the US ruling class – the finance capital that owns and controls the state – is itself subordinate to an Israeli ruling class. That is empirically false and theoretically incoherent. Finance capital is transnational, but its primary nodal points remain in the imperial core, above all the United States. American finance capital is the “global headquarters” of contemporary capitalism. Israeli capital is a junior partner – useful, wellconnected, but ultimately subordinate.

The Zionist lobby is best understood as an “organised fraction of the US ruling class” that specializes in maintaining the USIsrael alliance. Its members are American citizens; its funding is American capital; its function is to ensure that US Middle East policy serves the joint interests of US and Israeli finance capital with “US interests always paramount”.

When liberal analysts say, “the donors control the government,” they are halfright: donors exert enormous influence. But donors are themselves agents of capital. The question is *which* capital. In the case of Israel, the donors are a faction of US capital that has successfully aligned its interests with Israeli state policy. That is not Israeli control over the US; it is US capital using Israel as a strategic asset.

For finance capital-military and tech industry complex, any country, no matter how close relationship they may have, is expendable if and when their interests are decisively at risk. Europe, among other reasons, is an example of this fact. In this sense, regardless of how powerful its lobby in the US, Israel is not an exception but a part of the general rule. US lets Israel to carry out its aggressive, genocidal policies as long as they do not contradict the interests of the US finance capital.

The Iran Case as a Test

If Israel controlled the US, then US policy on Iran would be whatever Israel demands – likely direct military strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, or full US backing for an Israeli strike. That has “not” happened, despite decades of Israeli pressure. Instead, the US has vacillated: sanctions, assassinations, cyber attacks, but no fullscale war. Why? Because the US ruling class has calculated that a war with Iran would be disastrous for its global interests and that calculation has outweighed Israeli demands.

History shows the pattern clearly:

The US abandoned the Shah of Iran in 1979 when he became a liability.

 The US pressured Israel during the Suez Crisis in 1956.

 The US has repeatedly restrained Israel from escalating with Hezbollah or Iran when it judged the risks too high.

Israel is a “client state”, not a master. A powerful client, with significant bureaucratic influence inside the US apparatus – but a client, nonetheless. The Iran case proves that when the costbenefit ratio shifts, the US ruling class acts in its own interest, not Israels.


The “Israel Controls the US” Narrative as Damage Control

For decades, Israel occupied a unique position within US foreign policy: an exception to virtually every rule. No other country receives such unconditional military, economic, and diplomatic support. No other country can provoke a US veto at the UN Security Council with impunity. No other country’s lobby has such influence over the US Congress.

This brings us to the most subtle and original part of the analysis. The claim that “Israel controls US foreign policy” – whether made consciously or unconsciously, directly, or indirectly – serves a “damage control function” for US imperialism.

The United States is increasingly isolated from the world due to its unilateral, unjustified wars, its economic sanctions that amount to collective punishment, and its support for the genocidal war in Palestine. As US global standing deteriorates, the ruling class faces a legitimacy crisis. The American people, and increasingly people around the world, ask: “Why does US government do these terrible things?”

The popular answer gaining traction – “the government is controlled by the Israeli lobby” – has three political utilities for the ruling class:

1. “Shifting blame outward”: If Israel controls US policy, then the crimes are not American crimes – they are Israeli crimes committed through American instruments. The US becomes a victim or a hostage, not a perpetrator.

2. “Deflecting class analysis”: The narrative replaces *class* with *ethnicity/nationality*. The enemy becomes “the Jews” or “Israel,” not finance capital.

3. “Creating a safety valve”: As opposition to Israel grows among the US population, the narrative allows that opposition to be expressed “without” challenging the fundamental structure of US imperialism.

In the long run, it may turn Israel from a special exception into a subject of the general in other words, “expendable”. If the US public believes that Israel controls the government, the logical conclusion is: “We must break that control”. Breaking that control means treating Israel like any other client state useful when interests align, disposable when they do not.

Thus, the very narrative that seems to acknowledge Israeli power actually “prepares the ground for Israeli abandonment”. It is a damage control mechanism that may eventually make Israel the scapegoat for all of US warmongering – and then cast it aside.

 Conclusion

We can now answer the title question directly.

“Who makes foreign policy decisions in the US?”  The fused financeindustrialmilitary bureaucracy the institutional expression of the US ruling class. Not elected officials, not the people, not the deep state as a separate entity, but the integrated class apparatus of monopoly capital.

“What is the nature of conflict within the bureaucracy?   Nonantagonistic contradictions between different factions of the same ruling class different tactical assessments of how to preserve and extend US global hegemony. These conflicts are real, open, and sometimes sharp, but they always tend toward conciliation and unification against any external or internal threat to class rule.

“Does Israel control the US?”   No. The alignment of US and Israeli interests has been historically high, but that alignment is a product of shared class interests, not Israeli domination. The US ruling class controls Israel as a strategic asset. If and when the costbenefit ratio changes as it is changing in the multipolar transition the US will abandon or restrain Israel without hesitation.

“What is the ideological function of the “Israel controls the US” narrative?”   It is a damage control mechanism that shifts blame for US warmongering onto Israel, preserving the myth of American benevolence while channeling popular anger away from finance capital. However, this narrative is doubleedged: it ultimately makes Israel expendable by transforming it from an exception into a scapegoat.

“What is the danger ahead?”   Not that Israel controls the US, and not that the US will collapse. The danger is “fascism” – the unification of the ruling class behind a militarized, authoritarian executive that suppresses all internal dissent, scapegoats external enemies (real or constructed), and presents itself as the only alternative to chaos. The “Israel controls the US” narrative, if weaponized, could become a central pillar of that fascist mobilisation: “We must free America from foreign control” is a classic fascist slogan, regardless of whether the “foreign control” is real or imagined.

The reader who wishes to understand US foreign policy must abandon the comfortable frameworks of liberal democracy (where “checks and balances” matter) and leftliberal conspiracy theories (where neocons act autonomously). Only a “class perspective” materialist, dialectical, and unforgiving can answer the question: “Who actually makes the decisions?” The answer is finance capital, organised through the state bureaucracy. Conflicts within the bureaucracy are real but nonantagonistic. And the claim that “Israel controls the US” is not an explanation – it is a symptom of the very crisis of legitimacy that US imperialism is trying to manage.

If we look at the question  within The Unipolar vs. Multipolar Context; In the unipolar era (post-1991), the alignment of US and Israeli interests was nearly perfect. The US needed a reliable enforcer in the Middle East; Israel needed a global superpower patron. There was no significant cost to the US for supporting Israel’s most aggressive policies.

In the emerging multipolar era, this alignment is fraying. The US now faces existential competition from China and a resurgent Russia. Global South is asserting its independence. The “rules-based international order” is collapsing under the weight of its own hypocrisy. In this context, unconditional support for Israel is becoming  a ”liability” because  It drives BRICS nations closer together against the US, - It isolates the US in the UN General Assembly year after year, - It fuels anti-American sentiment across the Muslim world (2 billion people) and beyond,- It risks a regional war that would drain US resources needed for the real competition with China.

When the liabilities outweigh the benefits, finance capital will act. Israel will be informed—not asked—that US policy has changed. The lobby will be managed, not obeyed. And if the “Israel controls the US” narrative has done its damage control work, the American public will cheer the abandonment, believing they are finally “free” of Israeli control—never understanding that they remain under the control of finance capital.

Iran will most likely be the  ultimate  confirming test for the correctness of the Marxist Leninist analysis based on existing condition and facts.

Erdogan A

July 13, 2026


NOTES

(1) Lenin, The state and revolution, class society, and the state

(2) Lenin, Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism

(3)  Stalin, 7th Extended Plenary Session of the ICCI

(4) Basic Economic Law of Monopoly Capitalism, 1954

(5) Lenin, “The Impending Catastrophe and How to Combat It”

(6)  Lenin, Imperialism, the Highest Stage of Capitalism

(7) Bukharin, Toward a Theory of the Imperialist State

(8) A. Koh, Finance capital, Imperialism and War 1927

(9)  Lenin, The Economic Content of Narodism, and the Criticism of it

(10)  Lenin, The Agrarian Programme of Social-Democracy in the First Russian Revolution

(11) Karl Marx, 1843 From Critique of Hegel's Philosophy of Right

(12) Lenin, From, The Tasks of the Russian Social-Democrats

(13) Frederick Engels, Revolution and Counter-revolution in Germany

(14)  Karl Marx, From The Eighteenth Brumaire of Louis Bonaparte

(15) Erdogan , Trump as the tool of the Neo-Cons for a “face saving exit” from the problems US is facing

(16)  Lenin, Guerrilla Warfare

(17) Erdogan,  War against Iran; a prelude to war against China?

(18) War against Iran; a prelude to war against China?

(19) Erdogan, Ongoing debate on who controls whom? Does Israel control USA, or USA control Israel?

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