Taiwan Elections; prelude to war or peace. Western Media Narratives on Taiwan- fantasies and fallacies.
Treating Taiwan as an independent country in practice yet accepting One China policy.
Including the UN, US, all claim that they have one China policy and they do not support Taiwan's Independence, yet they support the “independence” of Taiwan.
Through
the manipulation and fallacies the western media created a false reality in the
minds of people that Taiwan is an independent country and China is bullying and
trying to conquer Taiwan by force and the West is helping a sovereign country
and standing up for Taiwan. They are encouraging separatism and militarization
in Taiwan to create a nation for their proxy war against China. With their hypocrisy they are violating the international
law which is not an exception to Taiwan but their common practice.
Same hypocritical phrase such “Taiwan’s future should be decided by its own people “is used to deceive the people as if they are not interfering the internal affairs of Taiwan but letting the people decide. This phrase by itself clearly deceptive and assumes that Taiwan is an independent country while they claim it is not by officially accepting the “One China Policy”. All the facts has shown that in Taiwan decisions regarding Taiwan is not being made by the people of Taiwan or by DPP but by Washington. The WikiLeaks reports have sufficient evidence to support that fact, in addition to the actual policies followed by the DPP designed by the US.
Taiwan
is not a member of the United Nations. In reality, only Vatican City and 12 of
the 193 UN countries recognize Taiwan as of 2023. It is interesting to know which ” sovereign countries”
these are; Belize, Guatemala, Haiti, Holy See (Vatican City), Marshall Islands,
Nauru, Palau, Paraguay, Saint Kitts and Nevis, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and
the Grenadines, Tuvalu. Honduras cut ties with Taiwan and recognized “One China
Policy” last year.
Taiwanese
Economy
Statistics
tell more than words. Taiwan's largest trade partner is China.
Exports
Imports
It
is obvious that DPP’s anti-China policy
and separatism will be a destructive affect on Taiwanese economy. It will
benefit the US interests rather than the interests of Taiwanese people at their
expense.
NED
(National Endowment for Democracy) and DPP.
As
in most countries in the world, especially in South East Asia, NED and its
subsidiary organizations are very active in Taiwan. They have a subsidiary in
Taiwan called Taiwan Foundation for Democracy. It is no secret that DPP and the
Taiwan president frequently meet in “cooperation “ with and for the “Global
Assembly of the World Movement for Democracy” another subsidiary of NED. It is
a way to secure a useful proxy role in the implementation of US policies in the
country.
Fantasies of The West being
spread in Taiwan in specific and Asia in general
There are so many
extensions of Western Media in Asia from Nikkei to South China Morning
Post, from WION to Asia Sentinel with their own numerous subsidiaries spreading
the fantasy and fallacies of the Western Neo-cons. The reality on the ground is
gradually changing after the collapse of Western Media Narratives in relation
to Ukraine war. How ever they are still dominant in shaping the minds of people
and creating false reality. It is not surprising that even in the US these fantasies
and fallacies are being challenged and debunked by some popular liberal,
anti-communist academicians and ex-military
officials, there are very few debunking the fallacies in South East Asia. Both
for the war in Ukraine and on the possibility of a China US war (and the war in
Gaza). American conservative Colonel Douglass MacGregor, Liberal Professor
Jeffrey Sachs and numerous other conservatives leading the debunking and making
objective assessments.
One of those group of critiques, Professor
John Mearsheimer while being objective on the issue of Ukraine and to some
degree on Gaza, he is reiterating the Neo-Con Western fantasies with a subjective
approach to a possible war with China
issue. Like all the other subjective analysists, he takes the issue as a war against China
by itself with an alliance of South Korea, Japan, Philippines, and Australia. The
current world reality however requires (at
the least) North Korea and Russia to be considered and added to the equation as allies of China in the case of a US war
against China. Anyone who does not add them to the equation would be far from
understanding the current realities of the world and the existential strategic
alliances. A possible war of US with its allies against China will instantly
bring about a war against North Korea and Russia. So the equation is not a war
between the US and its allies against China alone but a war between the
alliances; a war against China, Russia, and North Korea.
With this equation, as Colonel
McGregor puts it, is a fantasy and fallacy of Ne-Cons and there is no way to
win a war against that alliance. South Korea has no chances against North Korea, neither has Japan any chance to win a
war against Russia. Also, it is questionable that Japan, one of the 5 top countries in world economy will risk its future by being a proxy to the US. So the equation comes down to thousands of miles away US with waging
war against the China, Russia, North Korea with Philippines, and Australia. The
question of Philippines in an outright war cannot be considered without the
question of Socialist Guerillas who are waging a long war against the
government. So, it is hopeless and counterproductive for the Philippines to
participate in a proxy war against China regardless of all their rhetoric.
It is the accepted fact that no country or any alliance of countries can beat the US from thousands of miles away. The same goes for China and for Russia who has proven so far that it is not beatable by the West on its own borders.
Thus, since the war of
US (alliance) against China (alliance) could most likely be a proxy war, winning
that war is a fantasy of Neo-Cons and their puppets in those countries. As the
war in Ukraine clearly showed us, such a war would only bring about destruction
of the proxy countries and suffering of their people.
Such fantasies and
fallacies spread by the Western Media and the Puppets of NED in those countries
can only serve to the continuation of their puppet regimes and to the “livelihood”
of their puppets whether it be the leaders of NGO organizations or
academicians/politicians on their payroll.
Nothing is stagnant but
bound to change in time, especially at times where the truth rises from the
pile of fallacies and myths are
shuttered, the changes becomes inevitable and unpreventable.
We have already seen
the gradual changes in the minds of Taiwanese people and “softening” on the
part of some of the leading politicians. The elections will be another
indication- to some degree- of this
change in Taiwan. We will wait and see.
Election
In Taiwan, about 19.5 million people are registered to vote. The participation for the election has been relatively high in the last two elections – at 66.27 percent in 2016 and 74.9 percent in 2020 and expected to be higher for this elections. The impact of the US proxy war in Ukraine and Beijing’s words as to “the DPP as a political “separatists” and that a vote for the party is akin to a vote for “war” in the Taiwan Strait” may play a significant role despite all the possibilities of US mingling and election frauds. All the polls for the last decade show an increasing tendency to the preservation of the “status quo” which is around %90 + with less than %10 for the separation. The “status quo” tendency is divided in two; one is for closer ties with China other is for closer ties with both China and the US in different degrees. DPP represents the separatists group but has ethnic anti-China followers who tend to be more for US than China.
The
elections results may be a better indication of the tendencies of Taiwanese
people.
We
will wait and see if the spoke person of the State Council’s Taiwan Affairs
words will have any affect on the election who stated; "Taiwan
independence" is incompatible with peace in the Taiwan Straits and goes
against the interests and well-being of the people in Taiwan. Only with peace
and stability in the Taiwan Straits and peaceful development of cross-Straits
relations can the people in Taiwan live a peaceful, secure, and prosperous life”…
hope that the majority of
the compatriots on the island of Taiwan will recognize the extreme harm of the
DPP's "Taiwan independence" path and the extreme danger of Lai's
provocation of cross-Straits conflicts, and make the right choice at the crossroads
of cross-Straits relations, to create a new situation of friendly support and
prosperous development between compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Straits.”
Parties
Democratic Progressive
Party (incumbent)
Presidential
Candidate; Lai
Ching-te. Currently Vice President of the Republic of China since 2020, became
Chairmen of the party on January 2023. Lai "visited" the US to lobby
Washington to support him in the election, despite the opposition of Taiwan
compatriots fearing that would come at the cost of peace and stability across
the Taiwan Strait.
Vice
President candidate; Hsiao Bi-khim. Born in Kōbe,
Japan, to a Taiwanese father and an American mother. Raised in America. She became
active with the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) representative office in the
US, serving as an activity coordinator. Became an adviser to the National
Security Council in March 2020. Same year in June, Hsiao was appointed Taiwan's
representative to the United States. On 20 November 2023, Democratic
Progressive Party presidential candidate Lai Ching-te officially named Hsiao
his vice presidential candidate for the 2024 presidential election. She is a diehard
“Taiwan independence” separatist and pro US candidate. Always docile and obedient to the US, she is more like a "US representative to
Taiwan".
DPP
secessionists use the typical fallacy tactics of Collective Neo-Con West and have
the same fantasy of believing that the US can be relied on as a protective
umbrella for their attempt to seek "Taiwan independence". Fear and warmongering tactics of secessionists
continues despite the fact that China repeatedly stresses that it seeks the
peaceful reunification of the island, but the use of force is an alternative it
will resort to if necessary.
Taiwan's
two main opposition parties, the Kuomintang (KMT) and Taiwan People's
Party (TPP)
The Kuomintang (KMT) - Chinese Nationalist Party(CNP)
Presidential Candidate;
Hou Yu-ih, Mayor of New Taipei with %62 vote in 2022 versus % 57 of vote in
2018 against DPP. He was drafted by the Kuomintang on 17 May 2023 to be its
nominee for the presidency. In his December 7 2023 speech, Hou Yu-ih said that
if elected, he will seek to maintain friendly relations with both China and the
United States. He pointed out that the current administration's foreign policy
has seen several diplomatic allies sever relations with Taiwan, a complete
inability to participate in regional economic organizations, and a breakdown in
cross-strait communications. Since Tsai assumed office in 2016, a total of nine
countries have severed diplomatic relations with Taiwan, and official
communications with China have been non-existent. Hou argued that "Tsai's
policy does not work," advocating instead for a more balanced pro-U.S. and
pro-China stance. (https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202312070015)
Hou
further elaborated on his position, calling for strong alignment with the
United States while also stressing the importance of communicating with China.
Vice
President Candidate;
Jaw Shaw-kong
Jaw
is a staunch supporter of unification with China https://focustaiwan.tw/politics/202311240014
and believes unification is not possible under the current circumstances.
He opposes Taiwanese independence, saying there would be no war across the
Taiwan Strait as long as Taiwan did not formally declare independence. He
believes the current focus of Cross-Strait relations should be peaceful
development, and that it was for the next generation in both sides to see which
political system "would bring the greatest happiness to the people."
(Apple Daily (in
Chinese). 31 May 2018)
It
is said that the support for the KMT generally tend to be stronger in
majority-Hakka and Mandarin-speaking counties of Taiwan, in contrast to the
Hokkien-majority southwestern counties that tend to support the Democratic
Progressive Party.
KMT
favors closer relations with the PRC and the CCP. It also opposes Chinese
unification under the "one country, two systems" framework and any non-peaceful means to resolve the
cross-strait disputes. KMT also accepts the 1992 Consensus, which defines both
sides of the Taiwan Strait as "one China “with different interpretations
of it.
Taiwan People's Party
(TPP)
It was formally
established on 6 August 2019 by Ko Wen-je.
Presidential
candidate; Ko
Wen-je, previous
Mayor of Taipei.
Ko Wen-je said that he would follow incumbent
President Tsai Ing-wen's foreign policy
if elected. (December 6 2023 speech) However, when he was a mayor of
Taipei, Ko has expanded the city's relationship with mainland China. While in
2014, Ko mentioned that his strategic goals are the same as those of the DPP, Ko's
stances started shifting.
Vice President candidate; Cynthia
Wu; She worked for subsidiaries of Merrill Lynch in the United Kingdom and the
Shin Kong Group in Taiwan before she was appointed to the Legislative Yuan in
2022. She was born in the United States, lived in the UK. Wu worked for Merrill
Lynch in London. She is married to a Belgian Baron, a Belgian elite since 2022.
Coalitions
The
pan-Blue coalition
is a political coalition in the Republic of China (Taiwan) consisting of the
Kuomintang (KMT), People First Party (PFP), New Party (CNP), Non-Partisan
Solidarity Union (NPSU), and Young China Party (YCP) which maintains that the
Republic of China instead of the People's Republic of China is the legitimate
government of China, favors a Chinese and Taiwanese dual identity over an
exclusive Taiwanese identity, and favors greater friendly exchange with
Mainland China, as opposed to the Pan-Green Coalition (a coalition of DPP).
January 11, 2024
Thailand
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